TONY Lawlor (FG) has deposed Minister of State Aine Brady (FF) as the likely winner of the fourth seat in the Kildare North constituency.
Assuming that Emmet Stagg (Lab), Berard Durkan (FG) both sitting TDS and independent runner Catherine Murphy will be first three home, the last seat could evolve into something of a dogfight.
The odds against Cllr. Lawlor taking a seat have narrowed from 6/4 to 10/11 and Minister Brady’s odds have drifted in the opposite direction (from 4/9 to 6/4). A spokesman for Paddy Power bookmakers told the Leinster Leader today (Thursday) that the price adjustments reflected betting trends and the poor performance of Fianna Fail in opinion polls.
“We have seen some bets placed on Anthony Lawlor in recent days and allied to this is the fact that Fianna Fail’s support has proven to be pretty stagnant. There is also the possibility in the light of weakened support for their party, that Aine Brady and Michael Fitzpatrick could split the Fianna Fail vote meaning that none of them will win a seat,” said Paddy Power representative Robert Power.
Meanwhile In Kildare South, the most up to date bookie figures indicate that Martin Heydon and Jack Wall will take the first two seats. The third is set to be decided by a duel between Fianna Fail runners Sean O Fearghail and Sean Power, both of whom are identiically priced by Paddy Power.
Follow Saturday’s election count live here on www.leinsterleader.ie.